Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.001918 0.002051 0.002190 0.002344 0.002512 0.002689 0.002890
2024-12-22 0.001714 0.001899 0.002100 0.002333 0.002599 0.002892 0.003242
2024-12-29 0.001560 0.001775 0.002015 0.002305 0.002647 0.003039 0.003526
2025-01-05 0.001446 0.001681 0.001952 0.002288 0.002695 0.003177 0.003796
2025-01-12 0.001339 0.001586 0.001875 0.002243 0.002701 0.003258 0.003994
2025-01-19 0.001261 0.001518 0.001825 0.002224 0.002732 0.003365 0.004225
2025-01-26 0.001161 0.001416 0.001726 0.002135 0.002667 0.003343 0.004283
2025-02-02 0.001139 0.001409 0.001743 0.002193 0.002790 0.003567 0.004676
2025-02-09 0.001111 0.001392 0.001746 0.002230 0.002887 0.003759 0.005034
2025-02-16 0.001109 0.001408 0.001791 0.002325 0.003063 0.004067 0.005569
2025-02-23 0.001070 0.001374 0.001767 0.002324 0.003107 0.004192 0.005850
2025-03-02 0.001011 0.001310 0.001702 0.002262 0.003062 0.004186 0.005938
2025-03-09 0.000963 0.001262 0.001660 0.002238 0.003078 0.004283 0.006205
2025-03-16 0.000927 0.001228 0.001635 0.002237 0.003127 0.004432 0.006565
2025-03-23 0.000885 0.001186 0.001596 0.002213 0.003141 0.004529 0.006850
2025-03-30 0.000849 0.001149 0.001565 0.002197 0.003165 0.004640 0.007163
2025-04-06 0.000808 0.001103 0.001517 0.002155 0.003145 0.004681 0.007362
2025-04-13 0.000777 0.001071 0.001487 0.002137 0.003161 0.004778 0.007662
2025-04-20 0.000730 0.001012 0.001415 0.002052 0.003068 0.004692 0.007636
2025-04-27 0.000724 0.001014 0.001434 0.002107 0.003200 0.004984 0.008297
2025-05-04 0.000713 0.001008 0.001441 0.002143 0.003302 0.005230 0.008898
2025-05-11 0.000717 0.001024 0.001481 0.002233 0.003499 0.005652 0.009860
2025-05-18 0.000697 0.001004 0.001465 0.002233 0.003542 0.005806 0.010323